It’s good to be Beto O’Rourke, at least according to the latest CNN/SSRS poll on the still nascent 2020 field. The Texas Democrat made the biggest gain in the field of candidates since the last poll, out in October. Meanwhile, Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders reign supreme in the first and second spots, respectively.
Note: The poll number for Joe Biden in the above CNN Politics video screenshot should read 32%; the 36% figure refers to a subset of caucusgoers who prioritize a “winning candidate.”
By Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director
December 15, 2018
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds the pole position in the first CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll among likely 2020 Democratic caucusgoers, with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke joining him as the only possible candidates in the field with double-digit support.
The new Iowa Poll finds 32% of likely caucusgoers saying they back Biden as their first choice, 19% Sanders, 11% O’Rourke, 8% Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 5% California Sen. Kamala Harris, with the rest of the 20-person field testing below 5% support. …
December 18, 2018
According to a new Focus on Rural America poll released yesterday, former Vice President Joe Biden is the pick of the 2020 Democratic nominee bunch. He led the field of potential contenders with 30 percent, followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders with 13 percent and Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke, who captured 11 percent.
In the very same poll, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar appears to have grabbed the attention of potential Iowa caucus goers with 10 percent of the vote, which placed her fourth in a crowded Democratic presidential field.
Overall, Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren saw their numbers slide among potential Democratic Iowa caucus-goers since September.
Biden, though, continues to dominate what figures to be a sprawling 2020 field and he also led in a Des Moines Register poll published Saturday.
Here are the top five current frontrunners for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination on PredictIt:
- Beto O’Rourke at 21 percent
- Kamala Harris at 17 percent
- Joe Biden at 17 percent
- Bernie Sanders at 15 percent
- Amy Klobuchar at 10 percent
The field of 2020 presidential candidates is about to explode. Here are a few names set to come onto the scene with 2020 decisions real soon:
Amy Klobuchar: The Minnesota senator said she is “getting close to a decision” in an interview today.
Jay Inslee: The governor of Washington plans to seek the presidency — and wants to run on a climate change platform.
Julian Castro: The former San Antonio mayor plans to make a formal announcement to run on January 12.
Tom Steyer: The California billionaire plans to visit Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada (three of the four early voting states!) as he considers a presidential run.
Formal Democratic presidential candidate announcements
Delaney announces campaign for president, becomes first to challenge Trump (John Fritze, Baltimore Sun, July 28, 2017) — Rep. John Delaney, a former Potomac businessman who has cultivated a reputation for bipartisanship during three terms in Congress, announced Friday that he will run for the Democratic nomination for president — making him the first candidate to challenge President Donald J. Trump. The centrist Democrat, little known outside his district, will face a steep climb in building a credible national campaign. …
Elizabeth Warren announces Iowa trip as she starts running for president in 2020 (Astead W. Herndon and Alexander Burns, New York Times, Dec. 31, 2018) — Senator Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts Democrat and a sharp critic of big banks and unregulated capitalism, entered the 2020 race for president on Monday, becoming the first major candidate in what is likely to be a long and crowded primary marked by ideological and generational divisions in a Democratic Party determined to beat President Trump. …
Julián Castro, former Housing secretary, announces 2020 presidential run (Maggie Astor, New York Times, Jan. 12, 2019) — Julián Castro, the former housing secretary and former mayor of San Antonio, announced on Saturday that he would run for president, one of the most high-profile Latino Democrats ever to seek the party’s nomination. …
Who is Kirsten Gillibrand? (Sarah Stein Kerr, Natalie Reneau, and Drew Jordan, New York Times, Jan. 16, 2019) — The senator from New York announced on Stephen Colbert’s show Tuesday night that she’s running for president in 2020. Ms. Gillibrand is the latest candidate to join what is expected to be a crowded Democratic primary. Here’s what you need to know about her.
Profiles of potential Democratic candidates available on this site
Former Vice President Joe Biden
A preliminary psychological analysis of U.S. vice president Joe Biden conducted in 2009 by Jaclynn Beier, Brianna Ricci, Lindsey Holm, Katie Carlson, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics revealed that Vice President Biden’s primary personality pattern is Dominant/asserting, complemented by secondary Outgoing/congenial and Ambitious/confident features. In summary, Biden’s personality composite can be characterized as a dominant extravert.
Former Secretary of State John Kerry
The Political Personality of 2004 Democratic Presidential Candidate John Kerry. Paper presented by Aubrey Immelman and Adam Beatty at the 28th Annual Scientific Meeting of the International Society of Political Psychology, Toronto, ON, July 3–6, 2005. Abstract and link for full-text (25 pages; PDF) download at Digital Commons: http://digitalcommons.csbsju.edu/psychology_pubs/29/
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders
A psychological analysis of Vermont senator Bernie Sanders conducted in 2016 by Catherine Lundstrom, Hanae Nakamoto, Jacob Wankel, Christian Grande, Joe Trenzeluk, Atarah Pinder, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, revealed that Sanders’s primary personality patterns are Dominant/controlling and Contentious/resolute, with secondary Ambitious/confident features. In summary, Sanders’s personality composite can be characterized as a deliberative nonconformist.