Tagged: election outcome modeling

Mitt Romney

Mitt Romney

Summary: A psychological analysis of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney revealed that Romney’s primary personality pattern is Conscientious/dutiful, complemented by secondary Dominant/asserting, Ambitious/confident, and Accommodating/cooperative features and a minor Retiring/reserved tendency — a personality composite that does not predict success in presidential elections.

Republican 2016 presidential candidates, businessman Donald Trump (L) and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, take their places at their podiums before the start of the first official Republican presidential candidates debate of the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign in Cleveland, Ohio, August 6, 2015.

Why Donald Trump Beats Jeb Bush: The Personal Electability Index

Summary: Research conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics under the direction of Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., offers a political-psychological explanation for Donald Trump’s personal appeal as a candidate and Jeb Bush’s inability to consolidate his erstwhile front-runner status in the 2016 U.S. presidential election Republican primary. The Personal Electability Index has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump

Projecting the Winner of the 2016 Presidential Election: The Personal Electability Index

Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.

Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, seen here speaking at a rally in Oklahoma City, Feb. 9, 2012, has emerged as Mitt Romney’s leading challenger for the GOP presidential nomination.

Rick Santorum

Summary: A psychological analysis of former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, conducted in spring 2012 by Beth Peichel, Amanda Nusbaum, Feiran Chen, Sara Duxbury, Wade Kohls, Rachel Heying, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics revealed that Santorum’s primary personality pattern is Conscientious/dutiful, with secondary features of the Dominant/controlling and Ambitious/confident patterns — a personality pattern very similar to that of likely Republican nominee in the 2012 U.S. presidential election, Mitt Romney.